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Mensor Macro Index

A composite index of the macro stress prediction markets and selected fiat anchors are pricing, recession risk, the rate path, inflation pressure, growth, and financial conditions, on a base-100-neutral scale.

The index page →
81.4
UPDATED 01:56 ET
JUL 10, 2026 – OCT 15, 2026 · drawing 421 of 1000 ticks
708090100110100.0 · NEUTRALADDEDJUL 10AUG 3AUG 28SEP 21OCT 15
ConstituentsWEIGHT
Recession risk50.0%
Rate path (cuts priced)25.0%
Inflation (YoY %)5.6%
Growth (nowcast %)5.6%
10y Treasury yield (%)2.8%
Broad dollar, YoY (%)2.8%
WTI crude, YoY (%)2.8%
Financial conditions (NFCI)2.8%
Initial claims (weekly)2.8%
All constituents →

Subindices of the Mensor Macro Index

INDEX · MMILEVEL24H
Mensor Rate Path Index →MRPI · LAST READING 2026-10-150.05

The Mensor reads the market; it does not take positions in it. An index is a measurement, not a forecast and not a tradable product. Prediction-market prices are risk-neutral and approximate probabilities.