Newsletter

The daily brief: what the prediction markets are pricing, read across venues, with the day's largest repricings and the divergence ledger. Every sent edition publishes here in full.

Daily briefs

Wednesday, July 15^th, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Tuesday, July 14^th, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Monday, July 13^th, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Thursday, July 9^th, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Wednesday, July 8^th, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Tuesday, July 7^th, 2026

Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026?

Monday, July 6^th, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Thursday, July 2^nd, 2026

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Wednesday, July 1^st, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Tuesday, June 30^th, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Monday, June 29^th, 2026

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Friday, June 26^th, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Thursday, June 25^th, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Wednesday, June 24^th, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Tuesday, June 23^rd, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Monday, June 22^nd, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Friday, June 19^th, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Thursday, June 18^th, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Wednesday, June 17^th, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Tuesday, June 16^th, 2026

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Monday, June 15^th, 2026

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Friday, June 12^th, 2026

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?